Next Investors logo grey

Austin Exploration’s Pathfinder Project economic in low oil price environment

Published 19-SEP-2016 15:19 P.M.

|

2 minute read

Hey! Looks like you have stumbled on the section of our website where we have archived articles from our old business model.

In 2019 the original founding team returned to run Next Investors, we changed our business model to only write about stocks we carefully research and are invested in for the long term.

The below articles were written under our previous business model. We have kept these articles online here for your reference.

Our new mission is to build a high performing ASX micro cap investment portfolio and share our research, analysis and investment strategy with our readers.


Click Here to View Latest Articles

Austin Exploration Limited (ASX:AKK) has announced project economics from its flagship Pathfinder property in Florence, Colorado.

With the prolonged downturn in the price of oil, currently hovering around the $40-50 per barrel range, many oil fields in North America are no longer economic to drill.

This is due to the high costs associated with exploration, particularly where the oil formations are found in tight rocks that require long horizontal well bores to be drilled and hydraulically fractured.

The 100% owned Pathfinder acreage sits directly above the Pierre formation, which is a naturally fractured shale, where oil is typically discovered at shallow depths ranging from 2000ft and 4000ft.

Due to the geology horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracking is not required to access the oil, reducing the costs of the overall project.

To aid in further reducing operating costs, AKK has secured a comprehensive drill rig fleet including all required machinery and equipment to allow AKK to manage drilling operations internally.

As a result, AKK has developed a drilling program that could see the Pierre wells drilled for US$500k, making the Pierre project economical at $40+ per barrel.

AKK is currently drilling a three well program production from the Pierre shale, with the first two wells having encountered hydrocarbons. As the drilling program matures, AKK expects costs to be further reduced, improving the project economics.

The Pathfinder project contains several hydrocarbon bearing formations ranging in depth from 2000ft to 7000ft, with potential for oil and gas production. Production from similar formations has been witnessed in the area throughout the DJ Basin in Colorado.

Adjacent to the Pathfinder project is the West of the Florence oil field that has produced more than 15 million barrels from the Pierre formation.

The chart below outlines the economics of the Pierre well:

Next Investors Image

The chart above shows the low production case of $40 per barrel, US$500,000 per well and how Pierre is set to be paid off in 9 months.

Should oil prices recover to $60 per barrel, in a high production case the internal rates of return could go as high as 380%.

These results are based on estimates from AKK and a potential oil price. There is no guarantee the oil price will improve to the estimates laid out in the chart and are a best case scenario. If you are considering this company for your investment portfolio, seek professional financial advice.

Wells in Pierre are known for their long producing periods with the average being 20+ years and one well having been in production for 108 years.

tags

OIL


General Information Only

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ‘we’, ‘us’, ‘our’) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.

Conflicts of Interest Notice

S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.

Publication Notice and Disclaimer

The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

This article may include references to our past investing performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of our future investing performance.